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True accuracy of neural network



The Next CEO of Stack OverflowWhat is empirical accuracy?Sigmoid Function in Neural NetworkNeural Network Sigmoid ProblemNeural Network - Why use DerivativeNeural network - function estimationDerivative of softmax function in neural networkneural network resolving problemTraining and testing dataset from different source Neural networkComputing Neural Network GradientsAND logic gate in a neural networkHow is a neural mass model more computationally efficient than a neural network?












0












$begingroup$


My goal is to calculate the probability to correctly classify an object if I make $k$ predictions on slightly different images of it. The predicted class would then be the one that was predicted the most.



If I would only have two classes I think I could just use a binomial distribution and set $x= tfrac{k}{2} + 1 $ so that more than half of the time the correct class was predicted.



$$
Pleft(Xgeq tfrac{k}{2} + 1right) = binom{k}{frac{k}{2} + 1} cdot p^{frac{k}{2} + 1} cdot (1-p)^{frac{k}{2}}
$$




  1. The problem occurs when I have multiple classes. How could I then solve this problem?


  2. Also, following the answer given to this question I am unsure if I can use the empirical accuracy obtained by testing the model's accuracy on a test data set or if I additionally need to regard the true accuracy.











share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$








  • 1




    $begingroup$
    (1) Why not use a one-hot softmax classifier, run it $k$ times, and take the argmax of the average output over the $k$ runs? (2) the empirical test accuracy is usually the best estimate you can get of the true accuracy. How would you get the true accuracy? You would need infinite data. Theoretically you can use something like PAC bounds to see the relation between the two.
    $endgroup$
    – user3658307
    Mar 24 at 15:09
















0












$begingroup$


My goal is to calculate the probability to correctly classify an object if I make $k$ predictions on slightly different images of it. The predicted class would then be the one that was predicted the most.



If I would only have two classes I think I could just use a binomial distribution and set $x= tfrac{k}{2} + 1 $ so that more than half of the time the correct class was predicted.



$$
Pleft(Xgeq tfrac{k}{2} + 1right) = binom{k}{frac{k}{2} + 1} cdot p^{frac{k}{2} + 1} cdot (1-p)^{frac{k}{2}}
$$




  1. The problem occurs when I have multiple classes. How could I then solve this problem?


  2. Also, following the answer given to this question I am unsure if I can use the empirical accuracy obtained by testing the model's accuracy on a test data set or if I additionally need to regard the true accuracy.











share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$








  • 1




    $begingroup$
    (1) Why not use a one-hot softmax classifier, run it $k$ times, and take the argmax of the average output over the $k$ runs? (2) the empirical test accuracy is usually the best estimate you can get of the true accuracy. How would you get the true accuracy? You would need infinite data. Theoretically you can use something like PAC bounds to see the relation between the two.
    $endgroup$
    – user3658307
    Mar 24 at 15:09














0












0








0


0



$begingroup$


My goal is to calculate the probability to correctly classify an object if I make $k$ predictions on slightly different images of it. The predicted class would then be the one that was predicted the most.



If I would only have two classes I think I could just use a binomial distribution and set $x= tfrac{k}{2} + 1 $ so that more than half of the time the correct class was predicted.



$$
Pleft(Xgeq tfrac{k}{2} + 1right) = binom{k}{frac{k}{2} + 1} cdot p^{frac{k}{2} + 1} cdot (1-p)^{frac{k}{2}}
$$




  1. The problem occurs when I have multiple classes. How could I then solve this problem?


  2. Also, following the answer given to this question I am unsure if I can use the empirical accuracy obtained by testing the model's accuracy on a test data set or if I additionally need to regard the true accuracy.











share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$




My goal is to calculate the probability to correctly classify an object if I make $k$ predictions on slightly different images of it. The predicted class would then be the one that was predicted the most.



If I would only have two classes I think I could just use a binomial distribution and set $x= tfrac{k}{2} + 1 $ so that more than half of the time the correct class was predicted.



$$
Pleft(Xgeq tfrac{k}{2} + 1right) = binom{k}{frac{k}{2} + 1} cdot p^{frac{k}{2} + 1} cdot (1-p)^{frac{k}{2}}
$$




  1. The problem occurs when I have multiple classes. How could I then solve this problem?


  2. Also, following the answer given to this question I am unsure if I can use the empirical accuracy obtained by testing the model's accuracy on a test data set or if I additionally need to regard the true accuracy.








binomial-distribution neural-networks






share|cite|improve this question















share|cite|improve this question













share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question








edited Mar 17 at 18:14









Daniele Tampieri

2,63221022




2,63221022










asked Mar 17 at 17:31









oezguensioezguensi

1133




1133








  • 1




    $begingroup$
    (1) Why not use a one-hot softmax classifier, run it $k$ times, and take the argmax of the average output over the $k$ runs? (2) the empirical test accuracy is usually the best estimate you can get of the true accuracy. How would you get the true accuracy? You would need infinite data. Theoretically you can use something like PAC bounds to see the relation between the two.
    $endgroup$
    – user3658307
    Mar 24 at 15:09














  • 1




    $begingroup$
    (1) Why not use a one-hot softmax classifier, run it $k$ times, and take the argmax of the average output over the $k$ runs? (2) the empirical test accuracy is usually the best estimate you can get of the true accuracy. How would you get the true accuracy? You would need infinite data. Theoretically you can use something like PAC bounds to see the relation between the two.
    $endgroup$
    – user3658307
    Mar 24 at 15:09








1




1




$begingroup$
(1) Why not use a one-hot softmax classifier, run it $k$ times, and take the argmax of the average output over the $k$ runs? (2) the empirical test accuracy is usually the best estimate you can get of the true accuracy. How would you get the true accuracy? You would need infinite data. Theoretically you can use something like PAC bounds to see the relation between the two.
$endgroup$
– user3658307
Mar 24 at 15:09




$begingroup$
(1) Why not use a one-hot softmax classifier, run it $k$ times, and take the argmax of the average output over the $k$ runs? (2) the empirical test accuracy is usually the best estimate you can get of the true accuracy. How would you get the true accuracy? You would need infinite data. Theoretically you can use something like PAC bounds to see the relation between the two.
$endgroup$
– user3658307
Mar 24 at 15:09










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