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Normal approximation of MLE of Poisson distribution and confidence interval


Confidence interval for Poisson distribution coefficientConfidence interval of the parameter of $exp$ and normal distribution from MLE?Determine the asymptotic distribution of $bar X_n$, properly centered and $sqrt n$ scaledConfidence interval; exponential distribution (normal or student approximation?)MLE and unbiased estimator of $P{X_{i}=1}$ given poisson distributionMLE of Poisson distribution with new observationconfidence interval when both $mu$ and $sigma^2$ are unknownMLE, Confidence Interval, and Asymptotic DistributionsConfidence interval for mean of non-normal distribution based on a small sampleIs Confidence Interval taken on one Random Sample or A Sampling Distribution













0












$begingroup$


Let $(X_1,ldots,X_n)$ denote a random sample from a Poisson distribution with parameter $lambda$.



Maximum Likelihood Estimate of $lambda$ is given by



$hat{lambda} = bar{X} = frac{1}{n} sumlimits_{i=1}^n X_i$



a) Show that $frac{bar{X}-mu}{sqrt{lambda/n}}sim N(0,1)$ approx.



b) Using this normal approximation find the theoretical confidence interval with the $1-alpha/2$ quantile from the $N(0,1)$ distribution.





Thoughts: I'm quite stuck on problem a). I don't quite se om the MLE which is equal the the sample mean is relevant here but I am probably (most definitely) missing something. My only idea is to use CLT in some way since



$$frac{bar{X}-mu}{sigma/sqrt{n}}=frac{bar{X}-mu}{sqrt{lambda/n}}$$



as the variance of Poisson is just $lambda$. But from here I don't know what to do.... Can someone help me?



And for problem b) I have 0 ideas...










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    The result in part a) should be that $frac{sqrt{n}(overline X-lambda)}{sqrt{lambda}}stackrel{a}sim N(0,1)$, which follows from Lindeberg-Lévy CLT. Using this in part b), you can get a confidence interval for $lambda$ from $overline X-z_{alpha/2}sqrt{frac{overline X}{n}}<lambda<overline X+z_{alpha/2}sqrt{ frac{overline X}{n}}$ or consider a variance stabilising transform to find the C.I.
    $endgroup$
    – StubbornAtom
    Mar 14 at 19:36


















0












$begingroup$


Let $(X_1,ldots,X_n)$ denote a random sample from a Poisson distribution with parameter $lambda$.



Maximum Likelihood Estimate of $lambda$ is given by



$hat{lambda} = bar{X} = frac{1}{n} sumlimits_{i=1}^n X_i$



a) Show that $frac{bar{X}-mu}{sqrt{lambda/n}}sim N(0,1)$ approx.



b) Using this normal approximation find the theoretical confidence interval with the $1-alpha/2$ quantile from the $N(0,1)$ distribution.





Thoughts: I'm quite stuck on problem a). I don't quite se om the MLE which is equal the the sample mean is relevant here but I am probably (most definitely) missing something. My only idea is to use CLT in some way since



$$frac{bar{X}-mu}{sigma/sqrt{n}}=frac{bar{X}-mu}{sqrt{lambda/n}}$$



as the variance of Poisson is just $lambda$. But from here I don't know what to do.... Can someone help me?



And for problem b) I have 0 ideas...










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    The result in part a) should be that $frac{sqrt{n}(overline X-lambda)}{sqrt{lambda}}stackrel{a}sim N(0,1)$, which follows from Lindeberg-Lévy CLT. Using this in part b), you can get a confidence interval for $lambda$ from $overline X-z_{alpha/2}sqrt{frac{overline X}{n}}<lambda<overline X+z_{alpha/2}sqrt{ frac{overline X}{n}}$ or consider a variance stabilising transform to find the C.I.
    $endgroup$
    – StubbornAtom
    Mar 14 at 19:36
















0












0








0





$begingroup$


Let $(X_1,ldots,X_n)$ denote a random sample from a Poisson distribution with parameter $lambda$.



Maximum Likelihood Estimate of $lambda$ is given by



$hat{lambda} = bar{X} = frac{1}{n} sumlimits_{i=1}^n X_i$



a) Show that $frac{bar{X}-mu}{sqrt{lambda/n}}sim N(0,1)$ approx.



b) Using this normal approximation find the theoretical confidence interval with the $1-alpha/2$ quantile from the $N(0,1)$ distribution.





Thoughts: I'm quite stuck on problem a). I don't quite se om the MLE which is equal the the sample mean is relevant here but I am probably (most definitely) missing something. My only idea is to use CLT in some way since



$$frac{bar{X}-mu}{sigma/sqrt{n}}=frac{bar{X}-mu}{sqrt{lambda/n}}$$



as the variance of Poisson is just $lambda$. But from here I don't know what to do.... Can someone help me?



And for problem b) I have 0 ideas...










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$




Let $(X_1,ldots,X_n)$ denote a random sample from a Poisson distribution with parameter $lambda$.



Maximum Likelihood Estimate of $lambda$ is given by



$hat{lambda} = bar{X} = frac{1}{n} sumlimits_{i=1}^n X_i$



a) Show that $frac{bar{X}-mu}{sqrt{lambda/n}}sim N(0,1)$ approx.



b) Using this normal approximation find the theoretical confidence interval with the $1-alpha/2$ quantile from the $N(0,1)$ distribution.





Thoughts: I'm quite stuck on problem a). I don't quite se om the MLE which is equal the the sample mean is relevant here but I am probably (most definitely) missing something. My only idea is to use CLT in some way since



$$frac{bar{X}-mu}{sigma/sqrt{n}}=frac{bar{X}-mu}{sqrt{lambda/n}}$$



as the variance of Poisson is just $lambda$. But from here I don't know what to do.... Can someone help me?



And for problem b) I have 0 ideas...







statistics poisson-distribution central-limit-theorem confidence-interval






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share|cite|improve this question













share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question








edited Mar 15 at 17:52









StubbornAtom

6,30831440




6,30831440










asked Mar 14 at 18:31









CruZCruZ

638




638












  • $begingroup$
    The result in part a) should be that $frac{sqrt{n}(overline X-lambda)}{sqrt{lambda}}stackrel{a}sim N(0,1)$, which follows from Lindeberg-Lévy CLT. Using this in part b), you can get a confidence interval for $lambda$ from $overline X-z_{alpha/2}sqrt{frac{overline X}{n}}<lambda<overline X+z_{alpha/2}sqrt{ frac{overline X}{n}}$ or consider a variance stabilising transform to find the C.I.
    $endgroup$
    – StubbornAtom
    Mar 14 at 19:36




















  • $begingroup$
    The result in part a) should be that $frac{sqrt{n}(overline X-lambda)}{sqrt{lambda}}stackrel{a}sim N(0,1)$, which follows from Lindeberg-Lévy CLT. Using this in part b), you can get a confidence interval for $lambda$ from $overline X-z_{alpha/2}sqrt{frac{overline X}{n}}<lambda<overline X+z_{alpha/2}sqrt{ frac{overline X}{n}}$ or consider a variance stabilising transform to find the C.I.
    $endgroup$
    – StubbornAtom
    Mar 14 at 19:36


















$begingroup$
The result in part a) should be that $frac{sqrt{n}(overline X-lambda)}{sqrt{lambda}}stackrel{a}sim N(0,1)$, which follows from Lindeberg-Lévy CLT. Using this in part b), you can get a confidence interval for $lambda$ from $overline X-z_{alpha/2}sqrt{frac{overline X}{n}}<lambda<overline X+z_{alpha/2}sqrt{ frac{overline X}{n}}$ or consider a variance stabilising transform to find the C.I.
$endgroup$
– StubbornAtom
Mar 14 at 19:36






$begingroup$
The result in part a) should be that $frac{sqrt{n}(overline X-lambda)}{sqrt{lambda}}stackrel{a}sim N(0,1)$, which follows from Lindeberg-Lévy CLT. Using this in part b), you can get a confidence interval for $lambda$ from $overline X-z_{alpha/2}sqrt{frac{overline X}{n}}<lambda<overline X+z_{alpha/2}sqrt{ frac{overline X}{n}}$ or consider a variance stabilising transform to find the C.I.
$endgroup$
– StubbornAtom
Mar 14 at 19:36












1 Answer
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$begingroup$

You have an answer in the comments, so just slightly formalizing it. For (a) you have $n$ i.i.d Poisson random variables, thus a finite second moment, hence by the CLT
$$
sqrt{n}frac{(bar{X} - mathbb{E}X)}{sqrt{ Var(X) }} xrightarrow{D} N(0,1),
$$

in your case $mathbb{E}X = Var(X) = lambda$. Thus for any finite $n$,
$$
sqrt{n}frac{(bar{X} - lambda )}{sqrt{ lambda}} approx N(0,1).
$$

For (b), using (a) you know that
$$
mathbb{P}left(z_{a/2} le sqrt{n}frac{(bar{X} - lambda )}{sqrt{ lambda}} le z_{1-a/2} right) approx 1 - a
$$

re-arranging the inequality you have
$$
mathbb{P}left( bar{X} - z_{1-a/2}sqrt{lambda/n} le lambda le bar{X} + z_{1-a/2}sqrt{lambda/n} right) approx 1 - a,
$$

replace the $lambda$ with its estimator $bar{X}$ in $sqrt{lambda/n}$ and you have the CI.






share|cite|improve this answer









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    1 Answer
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    0












    $begingroup$

    You have an answer in the comments, so just slightly formalizing it. For (a) you have $n$ i.i.d Poisson random variables, thus a finite second moment, hence by the CLT
    $$
    sqrt{n}frac{(bar{X} - mathbb{E}X)}{sqrt{ Var(X) }} xrightarrow{D} N(0,1),
    $$

    in your case $mathbb{E}X = Var(X) = lambda$. Thus for any finite $n$,
    $$
    sqrt{n}frac{(bar{X} - lambda )}{sqrt{ lambda}} approx N(0,1).
    $$

    For (b), using (a) you know that
    $$
    mathbb{P}left(z_{a/2} le sqrt{n}frac{(bar{X} - lambda )}{sqrt{ lambda}} le z_{1-a/2} right) approx 1 - a
    $$

    re-arranging the inequality you have
    $$
    mathbb{P}left( bar{X} - z_{1-a/2}sqrt{lambda/n} le lambda le bar{X} + z_{1-a/2}sqrt{lambda/n} right) approx 1 - a,
    $$

    replace the $lambda$ with its estimator $bar{X}$ in $sqrt{lambda/n}$ and you have the CI.






    share|cite|improve this answer









    $endgroup$


















      0












      $begingroup$

      You have an answer in the comments, so just slightly formalizing it. For (a) you have $n$ i.i.d Poisson random variables, thus a finite second moment, hence by the CLT
      $$
      sqrt{n}frac{(bar{X} - mathbb{E}X)}{sqrt{ Var(X) }} xrightarrow{D} N(0,1),
      $$

      in your case $mathbb{E}X = Var(X) = lambda$. Thus for any finite $n$,
      $$
      sqrt{n}frac{(bar{X} - lambda )}{sqrt{ lambda}} approx N(0,1).
      $$

      For (b), using (a) you know that
      $$
      mathbb{P}left(z_{a/2} le sqrt{n}frac{(bar{X} - lambda )}{sqrt{ lambda}} le z_{1-a/2} right) approx 1 - a
      $$

      re-arranging the inequality you have
      $$
      mathbb{P}left( bar{X} - z_{1-a/2}sqrt{lambda/n} le lambda le bar{X} + z_{1-a/2}sqrt{lambda/n} right) approx 1 - a,
      $$

      replace the $lambda$ with its estimator $bar{X}$ in $sqrt{lambda/n}$ and you have the CI.






      share|cite|improve this answer









      $endgroup$
















        0












        0








        0





        $begingroup$

        You have an answer in the comments, so just slightly formalizing it. For (a) you have $n$ i.i.d Poisson random variables, thus a finite second moment, hence by the CLT
        $$
        sqrt{n}frac{(bar{X} - mathbb{E}X)}{sqrt{ Var(X) }} xrightarrow{D} N(0,1),
        $$

        in your case $mathbb{E}X = Var(X) = lambda$. Thus for any finite $n$,
        $$
        sqrt{n}frac{(bar{X} - lambda )}{sqrt{ lambda}} approx N(0,1).
        $$

        For (b), using (a) you know that
        $$
        mathbb{P}left(z_{a/2} le sqrt{n}frac{(bar{X} - lambda )}{sqrt{ lambda}} le z_{1-a/2} right) approx 1 - a
        $$

        re-arranging the inequality you have
        $$
        mathbb{P}left( bar{X} - z_{1-a/2}sqrt{lambda/n} le lambda le bar{X} + z_{1-a/2}sqrt{lambda/n} right) approx 1 - a,
        $$

        replace the $lambda$ with its estimator $bar{X}$ in $sqrt{lambda/n}$ and you have the CI.






        share|cite|improve this answer









        $endgroup$



        You have an answer in the comments, so just slightly formalizing it. For (a) you have $n$ i.i.d Poisson random variables, thus a finite second moment, hence by the CLT
        $$
        sqrt{n}frac{(bar{X} - mathbb{E}X)}{sqrt{ Var(X) }} xrightarrow{D} N(0,1),
        $$

        in your case $mathbb{E}X = Var(X) = lambda$. Thus for any finite $n$,
        $$
        sqrt{n}frac{(bar{X} - lambda )}{sqrt{ lambda}} approx N(0,1).
        $$

        For (b), using (a) you know that
        $$
        mathbb{P}left(z_{a/2} le sqrt{n}frac{(bar{X} - lambda )}{sqrt{ lambda}} le z_{1-a/2} right) approx 1 - a
        $$

        re-arranging the inequality you have
        $$
        mathbb{P}left( bar{X} - z_{1-a/2}sqrt{lambda/n} le lambda le bar{X} + z_{1-a/2}sqrt{lambda/n} right) approx 1 - a,
        $$

        replace the $lambda$ with its estimator $bar{X}$ in $sqrt{lambda/n}$ and you have the CI.







        share|cite|improve this answer












        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer










        answered Mar 15 at 19:22









        V. VancakV. Vancak

        11.4k3926




        11.4k3926






























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