Write the expression for $mathbb{E}(Y|X)$ The Next CEO of Stack OverflowMarkov Chain - Snakes...

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Write the expression for $mathbb{E}(Y|X)$



The Next CEO of Stack OverflowMarkov Chain - Snakes and LaddersExpected value of two successive heads or tails (stuck on computation)Conditional Probability of two random variablesExpected Value with stopping rule.Expectation of Coin Flipping GameConditional expectation for number of heads in a coin tossing depending on number shown on dieNumber of flips $X$ of a fair coin to win a gameConditional expectation in flipping coin. How much will I be willing to pay to see the first toss?Finding the probability of winning an interrupted game.Gambler's ruin problem variant with unfair coin and different starting funds?












0












$begingroup$


I have a confusion regarding how to go about solving the following question:



Suppose you are invited to play a game where your earnings are given by multiplying the outcome of rolling a fair die ($Z$) with tossing a fair coin ($X$). You have to pay $$5$ each time you want to play this game.



Let
$Y$ = net earnings,
$Z$ = outcome of dice ($1,2,ldots,6$),
$X$ = outcome of coin ($X$ equals $1$ if heads and $2$ if tails)




  • Write $Y$ in terms of $X$ and $Z$


This comes out as $Y = XZ-5$ (I think)




  • Write the expression for $mathbb{E}(Y|X)$. What is the expected earnings if

    we know the coin landed tail


  • What is your expected earning from playing this game? Answer

    without making a probability distribution for $Y$.











share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    Kindly use Mathjax:math.meta.stackexchange.com/questions/5020/…
    $endgroup$
    – Paras Khosla
    Mar 16 at 9:54










  • $begingroup$
    Can you find an answer yourself for the question in the first bullet? Do an effort and edit.
    $endgroup$
    – drhab
    Mar 16 at 10:41










  • $begingroup$
    Numerical values of coin toss is a little arbitrary!. I can fix X to be 0 for tails and 1 for head and the net earnings ' equation is different. Has the problem not given what the numerical outcome of X?
    $endgroup$
    – Satish Ramanathan
    Mar 16 at 12:00










  • $begingroup$
    This is the entirety of the question I am afraid and it has me confused as to how I should go about it
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 16 at 12:49
















0












$begingroup$


I have a confusion regarding how to go about solving the following question:



Suppose you are invited to play a game where your earnings are given by multiplying the outcome of rolling a fair die ($Z$) with tossing a fair coin ($X$). You have to pay $$5$ each time you want to play this game.



Let
$Y$ = net earnings,
$Z$ = outcome of dice ($1,2,ldots,6$),
$X$ = outcome of coin ($X$ equals $1$ if heads and $2$ if tails)




  • Write $Y$ in terms of $X$ and $Z$


This comes out as $Y = XZ-5$ (I think)




  • Write the expression for $mathbb{E}(Y|X)$. What is the expected earnings if

    we know the coin landed tail


  • What is your expected earning from playing this game? Answer

    without making a probability distribution for $Y$.











share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    Kindly use Mathjax:math.meta.stackexchange.com/questions/5020/…
    $endgroup$
    – Paras Khosla
    Mar 16 at 9:54










  • $begingroup$
    Can you find an answer yourself for the question in the first bullet? Do an effort and edit.
    $endgroup$
    – drhab
    Mar 16 at 10:41










  • $begingroup$
    Numerical values of coin toss is a little arbitrary!. I can fix X to be 0 for tails and 1 for head and the net earnings ' equation is different. Has the problem not given what the numerical outcome of X?
    $endgroup$
    – Satish Ramanathan
    Mar 16 at 12:00










  • $begingroup$
    This is the entirety of the question I am afraid and it has me confused as to how I should go about it
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 16 at 12:49














0












0








0





$begingroup$


I have a confusion regarding how to go about solving the following question:



Suppose you are invited to play a game where your earnings are given by multiplying the outcome of rolling a fair die ($Z$) with tossing a fair coin ($X$). You have to pay $$5$ each time you want to play this game.



Let
$Y$ = net earnings,
$Z$ = outcome of dice ($1,2,ldots,6$),
$X$ = outcome of coin ($X$ equals $1$ if heads and $2$ if tails)




  • Write $Y$ in terms of $X$ and $Z$


This comes out as $Y = XZ-5$ (I think)




  • Write the expression for $mathbb{E}(Y|X)$. What is the expected earnings if

    we know the coin landed tail


  • What is your expected earning from playing this game? Answer

    without making a probability distribution for $Y$.











share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$




I have a confusion regarding how to go about solving the following question:



Suppose you are invited to play a game where your earnings are given by multiplying the outcome of rolling a fair die ($Z$) with tossing a fair coin ($X$). You have to pay $$5$ each time you want to play this game.



Let
$Y$ = net earnings,
$Z$ = outcome of dice ($1,2,ldots,6$),
$X$ = outcome of coin ($X$ equals $1$ if heads and $2$ if tails)




  • Write $Y$ in terms of $X$ and $Z$


This comes out as $Y = XZ-5$ (I think)




  • Write the expression for $mathbb{E}(Y|X)$. What is the expected earnings if

    we know the coin landed tail


  • What is your expected earning from playing this game? Answer

    without making a probability distribution for $Y$.








conditional-expectation conditional-probability






share|cite|improve this question















share|cite|improve this question













share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question








edited Mar 16 at 17:56









mwt

959416




959416










asked Mar 16 at 9:49









FM109FM109

11




11












  • $begingroup$
    Kindly use Mathjax:math.meta.stackexchange.com/questions/5020/…
    $endgroup$
    – Paras Khosla
    Mar 16 at 9:54










  • $begingroup$
    Can you find an answer yourself for the question in the first bullet? Do an effort and edit.
    $endgroup$
    – drhab
    Mar 16 at 10:41










  • $begingroup$
    Numerical values of coin toss is a little arbitrary!. I can fix X to be 0 for tails and 1 for head and the net earnings ' equation is different. Has the problem not given what the numerical outcome of X?
    $endgroup$
    – Satish Ramanathan
    Mar 16 at 12:00










  • $begingroup$
    This is the entirety of the question I am afraid and it has me confused as to how I should go about it
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 16 at 12:49


















  • $begingroup$
    Kindly use Mathjax:math.meta.stackexchange.com/questions/5020/…
    $endgroup$
    – Paras Khosla
    Mar 16 at 9:54










  • $begingroup$
    Can you find an answer yourself for the question in the first bullet? Do an effort and edit.
    $endgroup$
    – drhab
    Mar 16 at 10:41










  • $begingroup$
    Numerical values of coin toss is a little arbitrary!. I can fix X to be 0 for tails and 1 for head and the net earnings ' equation is different. Has the problem not given what the numerical outcome of X?
    $endgroup$
    – Satish Ramanathan
    Mar 16 at 12:00










  • $begingroup$
    This is the entirety of the question I am afraid and it has me confused as to how I should go about it
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 16 at 12:49
















$begingroup$
Kindly use Mathjax:math.meta.stackexchange.com/questions/5020/…
$endgroup$
– Paras Khosla
Mar 16 at 9:54




$begingroup$
Kindly use Mathjax:math.meta.stackexchange.com/questions/5020/…
$endgroup$
– Paras Khosla
Mar 16 at 9:54












$begingroup$
Can you find an answer yourself for the question in the first bullet? Do an effort and edit.
$endgroup$
– drhab
Mar 16 at 10:41




$begingroup$
Can you find an answer yourself for the question in the first bullet? Do an effort and edit.
$endgroup$
– drhab
Mar 16 at 10:41












$begingroup$
Numerical values of coin toss is a little arbitrary!. I can fix X to be 0 for tails and 1 for head and the net earnings ' equation is different. Has the problem not given what the numerical outcome of X?
$endgroup$
– Satish Ramanathan
Mar 16 at 12:00




$begingroup$
Numerical values of coin toss is a little arbitrary!. I can fix X to be 0 for tails and 1 for head and the net earnings ' equation is different. Has the problem not given what the numerical outcome of X?
$endgroup$
– Satish Ramanathan
Mar 16 at 12:00












$begingroup$
This is the entirety of the question I am afraid and it has me confused as to how I should go about it
$endgroup$
– FM109
Mar 16 at 12:49




$begingroup$
This is the entirety of the question I am afraid and it has me confused as to how I should go about it
$endgroup$
– FM109
Mar 16 at 12:49










1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes


















0












$begingroup$

You just have to use the fact that dice roll and coin toss are independent, after that (and the fact that for independent variables $mathbb{E}(XY) = mathbb{E}(X) cdot mathbb{E}(Y)$) it's rather trivial.






share|cite|improve this answer











$endgroup$













  • $begingroup$
    I am afraid I still do not understand your answer correctly
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 16 at 12:48










  • $begingroup$
    An answer will be helpful
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 17 at 3:51










  • $begingroup$
    well, you wrote Y in terms of X and Z correctly, now $mathbb{E}[Y] = mathbb{E}[XZ - 5] = mathbb{E}[XZ] - 5 = $(because X and Z are independent) $mathbb{E}[X] cdot mathbb{E}[Z] - 5.$ $mathbb{E}[Y|X]$ will be a function of expected value of Y given X. So you have to define a function g(x) that for a given coin toss result gives expected value of the whole experiment. So you "calculate E[Y] using x", where x is a constant, not a random variable. $g(x) = mathbb{E}[Y|X] = mathbb{E}[xZ - 5] = $(x is a number, it's important here that X and Z are independent)$ x cdot mathbb{E}[Z] - 5$.
    $endgroup$
    – Piotr Piękos
    Mar 17 at 9:59












  • $begingroup$
    another simple way to go about $mathbb{E}[Y|X]$ without using independence is just writing explicitly writing the $mathbb{E}[Y|x=1]$ and $mathbb{E}[Y|x=2]$
    $endgroup$
    – Piotr Piękos
    Mar 17 at 10:03










  • $begingroup$
    This was really helpful, i had in mind that x will be a constant but your explanation has made it quite clear to me. Thanks a lot I really appreciate you taking out time to explain it neatly
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 20 at 4:56












Your Answer





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1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes








1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes









active

oldest

votes






active

oldest

votes









0












$begingroup$

You just have to use the fact that dice roll and coin toss are independent, after that (and the fact that for independent variables $mathbb{E}(XY) = mathbb{E}(X) cdot mathbb{E}(Y)$) it's rather trivial.






share|cite|improve this answer











$endgroup$













  • $begingroup$
    I am afraid I still do not understand your answer correctly
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 16 at 12:48










  • $begingroup$
    An answer will be helpful
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 17 at 3:51










  • $begingroup$
    well, you wrote Y in terms of X and Z correctly, now $mathbb{E}[Y] = mathbb{E}[XZ - 5] = mathbb{E}[XZ] - 5 = $(because X and Z are independent) $mathbb{E}[X] cdot mathbb{E}[Z] - 5.$ $mathbb{E}[Y|X]$ will be a function of expected value of Y given X. So you have to define a function g(x) that for a given coin toss result gives expected value of the whole experiment. So you "calculate E[Y] using x", where x is a constant, not a random variable. $g(x) = mathbb{E}[Y|X] = mathbb{E}[xZ - 5] = $(x is a number, it's important here that X and Z are independent)$ x cdot mathbb{E}[Z] - 5$.
    $endgroup$
    – Piotr Piękos
    Mar 17 at 9:59












  • $begingroup$
    another simple way to go about $mathbb{E}[Y|X]$ without using independence is just writing explicitly writing the $mathbb{E}[Y|x=1]$ and $mathbb{E}[Y|x=2]$
    $endgroup$
    – Piotr Piękos
    Mar 17 at 10:03










  • $begingroup$
    This was really helpful, i had in mind that x will be a constant but your explanation has made it quite clear to me. Thanks a lot I really appreciate you taking out time to explain it neatly
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 20 at 4:56
















0












$begingroup$

You just have to use the fact that dice roll and coin toss are independent, after that (and the fact that for independent variables $mathbb{E}(XY) = mathbb{E}(X) cdot mathbb{E}(Y)$) it's rather trivial.






share|cite|improve this answer











$endgroup$













  • $begingroup$
    I am afraid I still do not understand your answer correctly
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 16 at 12:48










  • $begingroup$
    An answer will be helpful
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 17 at 3:51










  • $begingroup$
    well, you wrote Y in terms of X and Z correctly, now $mathbb{E}[Y] = mathbb{E}[XZ - 5] = mathbb{E}[XZ] - 5 = $(because X and Z are independent) $mathbb{E}[X] cdot mathbb{E}[Z] - 5.$ $mathbb{E}[Y|X]$ will be a function of expected value of Y given X. So you have to define a function g(x) that for a given coin toss result gives expected value of the whole experiment. So you "calculate E[Y] using x", where x is a constant, not a random variable. $g(x) = mathbb{E}[Y|X] = mathbb{E}[xZ - 5] = $(x is a number, it's important here that X and Z are independent)$ x cdot mathbb{E}[Z] - 5$.
    $endgroup$
    – Piotr Piękos
    Mar 17 at 9:59












  • $begingroup$
    another simple way to go about $mathbb{E}[Y|X]$ without using independence is just writing explicitly writing the $mathbb{E}[Y|x=1]$ and $mathbb{E}[Y|x=2]$
    $endgroup$
    – Piotr Piękos
    Mar 17 at 10:03










  • $begingroup$
    This was really helpful, i had in mind that x will be a constant but your explanation has made it quite clear to me. Thanks a lot I really appreciate you taking out time to explain it neatly
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 20 at 4:56














0












0








0





$begingroup$

You just have to use the fact that dice roll and coin toss are independent, after that (and the fact that for independent variables $mathbb{E}(XY) = mathbb{E}(X) cdot mathbb{E}(Y)$) it's rather trivial.






share|cite|improve this answer











$endgroup$



You just have to use the fact that dice roll and coin toss are independent, after that (and the fact that for independent variables $mathbb{E}(XY) = mathbb{E}(X) cdot mathbb{E}(Y)$) it's rather trivial.







share|cite|improve this answer














share|cite|improve this answer



share|cite|improve this answer








edited Mar 16 at 17:56









mwt

959416




959416










answered Mar 16 at 10:07









Piotr PiękosPiotr Piękos

264




264












  • $begingroup$
    I am afraid I still do not understand your answer correctly
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 16 at 12:48










  • $begingroup$
    An answer will be helpful
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 17 at 3:51










  • $begingroup$
    well, you wrote Y in terms of X and Z correctly, now $mathbb{E}[Y] = mathbb{E}[XZ - 5] = mathbb{E}[XZ] - 5 = $(because X and Z are independent) $mathbb{E}[X] cdot mathbb{E}[Z] - 5.$ $mathbb{E}[Y|X]$ will be a function of expected value of Y given X. So you have to define a function g(x) that for a given coin toss result gives expected value of the whole experiment. So you "calculate E[Y] using x", where x is a constant, not a random variable. $g(x) = mathbb{E}[Y|X] = mathbb{E}[xZ - 5] = $(x is a number, it's important here that X and Z are independent)$ x cdot mathbb{E}[Z] - 5$.
    $endgroup$
    – Piotr Piękos
    Mar 17 at 9:59












  • $begingroup$
    another simple way to go about $mathbb{E}[Y|X]$ without using independence is just writing explicitly writing the $mathbb{E}[Y|x=1]$ and $mathbb{E}[Y|x=2]$
    $endgroup$
    – Piotr Piękos
    Mar 17 at 10:03










  • $begingroup$
    This was really helpful, i had in mind that x will be a constant but your explanation has made it quite clear to me. Thanks a lot I really appreciate you taking out time to explain it neatly
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 20 at 4:56


















  • $begingroup$
    I am afraid I still do not understand your answer correctly
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 16 at 12:48










  • $begingroup$
    An answer will be helpful
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 17 at 3:51










  • $begingroup$
    well, you wrote Y in terms of X and Z correctly, now $mathbb{E}[Y] = mathbb{E}[XZ - 5] = mathbb{E}[XZ] - 5 = $(because X and Z are independent) $mathbb{E}[X] cdot mathbb{E}[Z] - 5.$ $mathbb{E}[Y|X]$ will be a function of expected value of Y given X. So you have to define a function g(x) that for a given coin toss result gives expected value of the whole experiment. So you "calculate E[Y] using x", where x is a constant, not a random variable. $g(x) = mathbb{E}[Y|X] = mathbb{E}[xZ - 5] = $(x is a number, it's important here that X and Z are independent)$ x cdot mathbb{E}[Z] - 5$.
    $endgroup$
    – Piotr Piękos
    Mar 17 at 9:59












  • $begingroup$
    another simple way to go about $mathbb{E}[Y|X]$ without using independence is just writing explicitly writing the $mathbb{E}[Y|x=1]$ and $mathbb{E}[Y|x=2]$
    $endgroup$
    – Piotr Piękos
    Mar 17 at 10:03










  • $begingroup$
    This was really helpful, i had in mind that x will be a constant but your explanation has made it quite clear to me. Thanks a lot I really appreciate you taking out time to explain it neatly
    $endgroup$
    – FM109
    Mar 20 at 4:56
















$begingroup$
I am afraid I still do not understand your answer correctly
$endgroup$
– FM109
Mar 16 at 12:48




$begingroup$
I am afraid I still do not understand your answer correctly
$endgroup$
– FM109
Mar 16 at 12:48












$begingroup$
An answer will be helpful
$endgroup$
– FM109
Mar 17 at 3:51




$begingroup$
An answer will be helpful
$endgroup$
– FM109
Mar 17 at 3:51












$begingroup$
well, you wrote Y in terms of X and Z correctly, now $mathbb{E}[Y] = mathbb{E}[XZ - 5] = mathbb{E}[XZ] - 5 = $(because X and Z are independent) $mathbb{E}[X] cdot mathbb{E}[Z] - 5.$ $mathbb{E}[Y|X]$ will be a function of expected value of Y given X. So you have to define a function g(x) that for a given coin toss result gives expected value of the whole experiment. So you "calculate E[Y] using x", where x is a constant, not a random variable. $g(x) = mathbb{E}[Y|X] = mathbb{E}[xZ - 5] = $(x is a number, it's important here that X and Z are independent)$ x cdot mathbb{E}[Z] - 5$.
$endgroup$
– Piotr Piękos
Mar 17 at 9:59






$begingroup$
well, you wrote Y in terms of X and Z correctly, now $mathbb{E}[Y] = mathbb{E}[XZ - 5] = mathbb{E}[XZ] - 5 = $(because X and Z are independent) $mathbb{E}[X] cdot mathbb{E}[Z] - 5.$ $mathbb{E}[Y|X]$ will be a function of expected value of Y given X. So you have to define a function g(x) that for a given coin toss result gives expected value of the whole experiment. So you "calculate E[Y] using x", where x is a constant, not a random variable. $g(x) = mathbb{E}[Y|X] = mathbb{E}[xZ - 5] = $(x is a number, it's important here that X and Z are independent)$ x cdot mathbb{E}[Z] - 5$.
$endgroup$
– Piotr Piękos
Mar 17 at 9:59














$begingroup$
another simple way to go about $mathbb{E}[Y|X]$ without using independence is just writing explicitly writing the $mathbb{E}[Y|x=1]$ and $mathbb{E}[Y|x=2]$
$endgroup$
– Piotr Piękos
Mar 17 at 10:03




$begingroup$
another simple way to go about $mathbb{E}[Y|X]$ without using independence is just writing explicitly writing the $mathbb{E}[Y|x=1]$ and $mathbb{E}[Y|x=2]$
$endgroup$
– Piotr Piękos
Mar 17 at 10:03












$begingroup$
This was really helpful, i had in mind that x will be a constant but your explanation has made it quite clear to me. Thanks a lot I really appreciate you taking out time to explain it neatly
$endgroup$
– FM109
Mar 20 at 4:56




$begingroup$
This was really helpful, i had in mind that x will be a constant but your explanation has made it quite clear to me. Thanks a lot I really appreciate you taking out time to explain it neatly
$endgroup$
– FM109
Mar 20 at 4:56


















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